Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
43.59% ( 0.01) | 27.01% ( -0.01) | 29.4% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.07% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.13% ( 0.04) | 55.87% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% ( 0.04) | 76.99% ( -0.04) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( 0.03) | 25.44% ( -0.02) |