Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
34.86% ( 0.01) | 25.02% ( -0) | 40.11% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( 0.01) | 45.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.01) | 68.29% ( -0.01) |
Zhejiang Professional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% ( 0.01) | 60.5% ( -0.01) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( -0) | 22.8% |