Lazio 1-4 Bayern Munich - Champions League Round of 16 - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.45%) and 1-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bayern Munich
35.53%	22.13%	42.34%

Both teams to score 68.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.32%

31.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.81%

53.18%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32%

18.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98%

50.02%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19%

15.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.03%

44.97%

Score Analysis

Lazio 35.53%

Bayern Munich 42.34%

Draw 22.13%

Lazio	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-3 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 2.95% 3-3 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.42% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.89% Total : 42.34%