SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Real Madrid |
36.09% ( -0.94) | 23.58% ( -0.06) | 40.33% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( 0.22) | 38.89% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( 0.23) | 61.2% ( -0.23) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( -0.37) | 21.67% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( -0.58) | 54.8% ( 0.58) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.56) | 19.63% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( 0.89) | 51.59% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.23% Total : 40.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
