MX23RW : Friday, January 27 20:17:31
SM
Friday, January 27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig
24.75%22.06%53.19%
Both teams to score 61.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.11%37.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.85%60.15%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.98%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65%14.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78%42.21%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 24.75%
    RB Leipzig 53.2%
    Draw 22.06%
StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.29%
1-0 @ 5.13%
2-0 @ 3.24%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 24.75%
1-1 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 6.25%
0-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 3.95%
1-4 @ 3.03%
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.18%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.2%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17106151153636
2Union BerlinUnion Berlin1710342922733
3RB Leipzig1795337231432
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1794436251131
5Borussia DortmundDortmund1710163125631
6Freiburg179442624231
7Wolfsburg1785435201529
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen177373028224
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach176473028222
10FC Koln175662931-221
11Werder Bremen176382736-921
12Mainz 05Mainz175572127-620
13Hoffenheim175482527-219
14Augsburg175392230-818
15Stuttgart173772130-916
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum1751111739-2216
17Hertha Berlin173592030-1014
18Schalke 04Schalke1723121441-279
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