Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
