SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Schalke 04 |
40.67% ( 3.3) | 23.76% ( 0.07) | 35.57% ( -3.37) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( -0.53) | 39.88% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( -0.56) | 62.24% ( 0.56) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 1.33) | 19.9% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.97% ( 2.11) | 52.03% ( -2.11) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -1.92) | 22.39% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.1% ( -2.96) | 55.89% ( 2.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.12% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.42) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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