SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
66.69% ( 0.32) | 20.3% ( -0.12) | 13.01% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( 0.04) | 48.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.04) | 70.66% ( -0.03) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 0.11) | 13.65% ( -0.11) |
