SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 13 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Internacional | 14 | 7 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Santos |
58.64% ( -0.05) | 24.11% ( 0.01) | 17.25% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.01) | 55.73% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0) | 76.87% ( 0) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( -0.03) | 18.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.04) | 50.28% ( 0.03) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.08% ( 0.04) | 45.92% ( -0.05) |
