Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
