SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Standard Liege |
24.96% ( -0.17) | 24.31% ( 0.01) | 50.72% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.2) | 47.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.18) | 70.07% ( 0.18) |
| Zulte Waregem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( -0.25) | 33.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.88% ( -0.28) | 70.11% ( 0.28) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( -0.02) | 18.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.62% ( -0.02) | 50.38% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.96% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 62 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | GentGent | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 48 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Leuven | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | KV OostendeOostende | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 24 |
| 17 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 23 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 19 |
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