Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
