SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | RFC Seraing |
42.63% ( 0.14) | 25.79% ( 0.14) | 31.59% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( -0.68) | 50.19% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( -0.61) | 72.15% ( 0.61) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.22) | 23.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.62% ( -0.33) | 57.38% ( 0.34) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( -0.52) | 29.71% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.24% ( -0.64) | 65.77% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | GentGent | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Sint-Truiden | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Leuven | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 32 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 20 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
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