Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
