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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Isloch |
33.96% ( -0.17) | 27% ( 0.03) | 39.04% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.15) | 54.55% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( -0.13) | 75.9% ( 0.13) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.19) | 30.32% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.49% ( -0.22) | 66.5% ( 0.22) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( 0.01) | 27.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.32% ( 0.01) | 62.68% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.96% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Neman | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | BATE BorisovBATE | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | IslochIsloch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Gomel | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | SlutskSlutsk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 |
| 10 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Naftan | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| 13 | BelshinaBelshina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | -6 |
| 14 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | -13 |
| 15 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | -13 |
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