Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union
2 - 0
Gimnasia
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lescano (12'), Miramon (52'), Torres (90+1')
We said: Union 1-0 Gimnasia
We do not expect there to be many goals between these two sides, who have both looked to keep things tight recently.
Union appear to be finding their groove lately, though, so we can envisage another 1-0 victory for Munua's side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result |
| Union | Draw | Gimnasia |
48.64% ( 0.16) | 27.5% ( -0.3) | 23.85% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.88) |
| 39.3% ( 1.06) | 60.69% ( -1.07) |
| 19.23% ( 0.79) | 80.76% ( -0.8) |
| 74.88% ( 0.55) | 25.12% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.17% ( 0.76) | 59.82% ( -0.77) |
| 58.41% ( 0.74) | 41.58% ( -0.75) |
