Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
46.86% ( -0.63) | 27.84% ( 0.21) | 25.29% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 44.11% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.13% ( -0.42) | 60.87% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.1% ( -0.32) | 80.89% ( 0.32) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.5) | 26.07% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.68) | 61.11% ( 0.69) |
Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.66% ( 0.15) | 40.34% ( -0.15) |