SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
47.2% ( -0.89) | 27.69% ( -0.11) | 25.11% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.51% ( 0.98) | 60.49% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% ( 0.73) | 80.61% ( -0.74) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.01) | 25.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.34% ( 0.02) | 60.65% ( -0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( 1.49) | 40.29% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.08% ( 1.33) | 76.91% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.35)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 37 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | BelgranoBelgrano | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | LanusLanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 22 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 14 | TigreTigre | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 | Instituto | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Barracas Central | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 20 | Racing ClubRacing | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 21 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 22 | ColonColon | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 23 | IndependienteIndependiente | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 17 |
| 24 | HuracanHuracan | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 17 |
| 25 | BanfieldBanfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 15 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 14 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 9 |
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