Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Arsenal
0 - 2
Platense
We said: Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 Platense
Although Platense have lost their last five away league games, they have tended to fare well against Arsenal Sarandi, having avoided defeat in their previous four meetings, and we think that they will continue that impressive run by holding their hosts to a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Platense |
45.74% ( -0.02) | 28.5% ( 0.08) | 25.76% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.24) |
| 37.29% ( -0.28) | 62.71% ( 0.28) |
| 17.74% ( -0.2) | 82.25% ( 0.2) |
| 72.5% ( -0.14) | 27.49% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37% ( -0.18) | 63% ( 0.18) |
| 59.04% ( -0.21) | 40.96% ( 0.21) |
