SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
59.25% ( -0.49) | 24.81% ( 0.22) | 15.94% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% ( -0.34) | 59.86% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( -0.26) | 80.13% ( 0.25) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.32) | 20.2% ( 0.32) |
