SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
59.37% ( -0.33) | 22.05% ( 0.3) | 18.58% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -1.27) | 45.71% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -1.22) | 68.03% ( 1.21) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( -0.52) | 15.02% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.5% ( -1.01) | 43.5% ( 1.01) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.71) | 38.43% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.82% ( -0.69) | 75.18% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | MalmoMalmo | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | ElfsborgElfsborg | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | HackenHacken | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | KalmarKalmar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Djurgardens IFDjurgarden | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Halmstads BKHalmstad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | HammarbyHammarby | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Mjallby AIF | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | SiriusSirius | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 11 |
| 14 | IFK GoteborgGoteborg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | AIK FotbollAIK | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Varbergs BoISVarbergs | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 5 |
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