Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
