Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Degerfors | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
52.92% ( -0.73) | 24.47% ( 0.18) | 22.61% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 50.84% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.17) | 50.71% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.15) | 72.61% ( 0.14) |
Degerfors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( -0.35) | 19.12% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.25% ( -0.57) | 50.74% ( 0.57) |
Varbergs BoIS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( 0.43) | 37.14% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% ( 0.42) | 73.92% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Degerfors | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MalmoMalmo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
2 | ElfsborgElfsborg | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
3 | HackenHacken | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 25 |
4 | Djurgardens IFDjurgarden | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 20 |
5 | BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | KalmarKalmar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 17 |
8 | HammarbyHammarby | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
9 | Halmstads BKHalmstad | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Mjallby AIF | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Varnamo | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
12 | SiriusSirius | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Degerfors | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 11 |
14 | IFK GoteborgGoteborg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
15 | AIK FotbollAIK | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
16 | Varbergs BoISVarbergs | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 5 |
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