SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Zambia.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
39.48% ( -0.01) | 26.35% ( 0.01) | 34.17% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.02) | 51.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0.02) | 73.64% ( 0.02) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.01) | 25.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.27% ( -0.02) | 60.72% ( 0.02) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.01) | 28.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.26% ( -0.01) | 64.74% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.47% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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