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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
TN
Eswatini
0 - 2
Togo

Msibi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Denkey (14'), Placca (90+2')
Amouzou (56'), Duarte (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Eswatini 0-1 Togo

Both teams boast the same number of goals scored and conceded from their opening four matches and this weekend's contest could easily swing either way. However, we just about back the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Eswatini win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Togo has a probability of 34.55% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Togo win is 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.02%).

Result
EswatiniDrawTogo
37.87% (1.308 1.31) 27.57% (-0.303 -0.3) 34.55% (-1.009 -1.01)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (1.083 1.08)56.69% (-1.086 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.862 0.86)77.65% (-0.866 -0.87)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (1.322 1.32)28.95% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (1.61 1.61)64.83% (-1.613 -1.61)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.102 -0.1)31% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.119 -0.12)67.31% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 37.87%
    Togo 34.55%
    Draw 27.56%
EswatiniDrawTogo
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.213 0.21)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.19 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.87%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-0 Eswatini
Friday, July 15 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Eswatini (10-9 pen.)
Wednesday, July 13 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 2-0 Lesotho
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, July 8 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Togo
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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