Mauritius come into this match the more settled of these sides and with solid preparation over the last year. They recently held Angola to a goalless draw in World Cup qualifying, and we feel they will edge this one by a single goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chad win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Mauritius has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chad win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Mauritius win is 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).
-0.17) 
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