SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Kaya |
51.74% ( -0.31) | 20.3% ( 0.05) | 27.95% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 71.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.07) | 26.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.41% ( -0.08) | 46.58% ( 0.08) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.19% ( -0.1) | 10.81% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.14% ( -0.23) | 34.85% ( 0.23) |
| Kaya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.11) | 19.94% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.91% ( 0.17) | 52.09% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Kaya |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.74% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Fulham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 12 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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