SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
45.03% ( -2.01) | 25.28% ( 0.18) | 29.69% ( 1.83) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( 0.25) | 48.82% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( 0.23) | 70.92% ( -0.23) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( -0.79) | 21.68% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.18% ( -1.22) | 54.82% ( 1.22) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( 1.47) | 30.32% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.5% ( 1.72) | 66.5% ( -1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.02% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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