Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ahal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ahal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
