Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
