Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
