SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Adelaide United |
42.09% ( -0.47) | 23.05% ( -0.06) | 34.86% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 64.71% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.46) | 36.49% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.51) | 58.63% ( -0.51) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0) | 17.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0) | 48.64% ( 0) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( 0.49) | 21.21% ( -0.49) |
