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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 36.93% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (5.04%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.82%).
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
36.93% ( 0.19) | 21.88% ( 0.02) | 41.19% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 69.71% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( -0.11) | 30.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.13) | 51.39% ( 0.13) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( 0.04) | 17.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.23% ( 0.07) | 47.77% ( -0.07) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.13) | 15.63% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.36% ( -0.23) | 44.64% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 41.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Macarthur | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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