SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SJK in this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Ilves |
37.07% ( -0.01) | 26.76% | 36.17% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( -0) | 53.4% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -0) | 74.94% ( 0) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.01) | 27.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.56% ( -0.01) | 63.44% ( 0) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0) | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.88% ( 0) | 64.12% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPSKuPS | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Oulu | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | IlvesIlves | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | KTP | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | HakaHaka | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | LahtiLahti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
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