SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
29.1% ( 0.02) | 25.93% ( 0.01) | 44.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( -0.03) | 51.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( -0.03) | 73.56% ( 0.03) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0) | 32.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.22% ( 0) | 68.77% ( -0) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.03) | 22.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.25% ( -0.04) | 56.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.11% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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