SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Hamburger SV |
42.23% ( 3.19) | 22.95% ( -0.56) | 34.82% ( -2.62) |
| Both teams to score 65.06% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 2.41) | 36.03% ( -2.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.88% ( 2.6) | 58.13% ( -2.59) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 2.41) | 17.62% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.78% ( 4.01) | 48.22% ( -4.01) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.22) | 21.02% ( 0.23) |
