SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Elversberg |
40.07% ( 1.11) | 23.76% ( -0) | 36.17% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.08) | 39.79% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.85% ( -0.08) | 62.14% ( 0.08) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.48) | 20.13% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.77) | 52.41% ( -0.77) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.6) | 22.04% ( 0.6) |
