Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
