Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 75.93%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
