Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.