Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Last Game: Cerrito 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Cerrito
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Albion | 15 | -15 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Cerrito |
58.99% ( -1.16) | 23.99% ( 0.82) | 17.02% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( -2.5) | 55.61% ( 2.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% ( -2.08) | 76.77% ( 2.08) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -1.34) | 18.66% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.01% ( -2.29) | 49.99% ( 2.29) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.86% ( -1.05) | 46.13% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.17% ( -0.82) | 81.82% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 58.98%
Cerrito 17.02%
Draw 23.99%
| Nacional | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.76) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.98% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.41% Total : 17.02% |
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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Bragantino
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Albion
Saturday, May 21 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 21 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Nacional
Saturday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Fenix
Monday, May 9 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, May 9 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Nacional
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Wanderers
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Albion 2-2 Cerrito
Sunday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 2-2 Torque
Friday, May 6 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, May 6 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-0 Cerrito
Tuesday, April 26 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, April 26 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-0 Penarol
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 2-0 Cerrito
Sunday, April 10 at 5.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 10 at 5.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
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Uruguayan Primera Division Table
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | NacionalNacional | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | River PlateRiver Plate | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | DanubioDanubio | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
| 7 | Boston RiverBoston River | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
| 8 | PenarolPenarol | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | FenixFenix | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Albion | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 6 |
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Ligue 1 Table
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 29 |
| 2 | Lorient | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Rennes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Clermont | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Lyon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Troyes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Nice | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Reims | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
| 20 | Brest | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 6 |
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