Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Nantes - Trophee des Champions Final - Football

Losing such an influential attacking outlet in Kolo Muani is a bitter blow for Nantes, but similarly, PSG will have to find a way to stomp their attacking authority without Mbappe in the fold. Kombouare's side have demonstrated some impressive defensive resilience in pre-season, but Galtier's new-look side still possess the creative nous to break through and get their hands on the Trophee des Champions for the 11th time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
70.6% ( 1.84)	17.32% ( -0.87)	12.09% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 52.59% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.64% (

1.69)

37.36% (

-1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.42% (

1.8)

59.58% (

-1.79)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57% (

0.9)

9.43% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.3% (

2.07)

31.7% (

-2.07)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07% (

-0.42)

41.93% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62% (

-0.36)

78.38% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 70.6%

Nantes 12.09%

Draw 17.32%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.6%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.32%	1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.4% Total : 12.09%

Form, Standings, Stats