We say: Barcelona 1-3 Real Madrid
With Benzema, Vinicius and a whole host of Real Madrid's XI playing out of their skin right now, a depleted Barcelona outfit cannot expect to head into Wednesday's semi-final as the favourites.
La Blaugrana will give it their all for a realistic shot at a trophy, but Ancelotti's free-scoring outfit possess the necessary firepower to march onto Sunday's final.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%).
