Konyaspor boast the second-best home record in the Super Lig and after winning 11 of their 16 home league games this season, we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Gaziantep on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.
