Only in September 2008 - incidentally, under current Juventus coach Max Allegri - have Cagliari previously lost four successive Serie A games without finding the net, and they can avoid such a fate by taking home a point on Sunday.
Unlikely to be drawn into the thick of the relegation battle, Udinese may not match their intensity like-for-like, so could be caught out defensively at some stage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
