On the back of their terrific victory at Milan, Sassuolo head into this fixture full of confidence. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Napoli right now, the visitors having the firepower to make relatively light work of their mid-table hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 0-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
