Recent events have confirmed that both sides are a work in progress under managers appointed during the summer, so an open affair should be decided by the odd goal in Lazio's favour - due to their more diverse attacking talent.
Sampdoria may be set for a testing second half of the season if they cannot improve at the back, and look bound for a ninth loss of the campaign on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
