SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 55.52%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.05%) and 1-3 (6.72%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 23.73% | 20.74% | 55.52% |
| Both teams to score 65.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% | 54.27% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% | 26.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.77% | 61.23% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% | 11.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.82% | 37.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% 1-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.84% 2-0 @ 2.79% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 23.73% | 1-1 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.01% 2-3 @ 4.5% 1-4 @ 3.58% 0-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 1.53% 0-5 @ 1.14% 3-4 @ 1.07% 2-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
| 2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 49 |
| 8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
| 12 | Udinese | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
| 15 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 27 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
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