Having conceded twice in three of their last four matches, Roma can certainly be vulnerable at the back, and may also have to improvise selection at the heart of their defence.
Nonetheless, they possess sufficient firepower to match a vibrant Verona team blow for blow, and could edge an entertaining encounter in the capital.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
