Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Napoli win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
